Lecce U18 vs Cesena U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
36.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
7º
8º
38
4º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 45 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
38 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2022 |
SAM
1 - 2
LEC
21%
20%
59%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
LEC
1 - 3
ASR
44%
22%
34%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
EMP
1 - 3
LEC
30%
22%
48%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
LEC
1 - 3
NAP
56%
20%
24%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
BOL
2 - 2
LEC
59%
19%
22%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
CES
6 - 2
NAP
54%
21%
25%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
BOL
1 - 4
CES
63%
18%
19%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CES
0 - 1
SAS
64%
19%
18%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
LAZ
2 - 2
CES
40%
22%
38%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CES
1 - 1
GEN
61%
19%
21%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |