Lecce U17 vs Roma U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
1.3%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.3%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.1%
83.8%
Win probability
3.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
6.6%
2-5
1.9%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
18.3%
0-4
7.8%
1-5
4.4%
2-6
1%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
13.4%
0-5
5.2%
1-6
2.4%
2-7
0.5%
3-8
0.1%
-5
8.2%
0-6
2.9%
1-7
1.2%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
4.2%
0-7
1.4%
1-8
0.5%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1.9%
0-8
0.6%
1-9
0.2%
2-10
0%
-8
0.8%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0.1%
-9
0.3%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-43%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
5º
12º
5º
63
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
LCC
2 - 3
PER
69%
17%
14%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
SAL
0 - 1
LCC
12%
17%
71%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
LCC
1 - 0
REG
69%
17%
15%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 2
LCC
33%
23%
44%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
LCC
2 - 5
LAZ
15%
17%
68%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Roma U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
PER
1 - 6
ROM
5%
11%
84%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ROM
5 - 0
SAL
94%
5%
1%
|
44 | 14 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
REG
1 - 2
ROM
4%
8%
88%
|
44 | 18 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
ROM
4 - 2
BAR
93%
5%
2%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
LAZ
3 - 1
ROM
23%
21%
55%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |