Lecce U19 vs ACR Messina U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
22.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
LAZ
6 - 0
LEC
69%
19%
12%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
LEC
2 - 0
AVE
78%
15%
7%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
BAR
1 - 0
LEC
42%
26%
32%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
NAP
2 - 0
LEC
42%
26%
33%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
LEC
0 - 2
CAT
39%
26%
35%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
ACR Messina U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
MSN
2 - 2
BAR
43%
25%
32%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
ROM
2 - 1
MSN
71%
17%
11%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
MSN
0 - 2
SIE
26%
25%
49%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -2 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
LAZ
4 - 0
MSN
68%
19%
13%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
MSN
0 - 1
FRO
56%
23%
22%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |