Lecce U19 vs Crotone U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
30.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
LEC
4 - 1
BEN
55%
22%
24%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
PER
2 - 1
LEC
30%
21%
49%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
LEC
0 - 1
CRO
69%
17%
14%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
SAL
2 - 1
LEC
25%
21%
54%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
LEC
2 - 0
JUV
70%
17%
13%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Crotone U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
CRO
2 - 1
REG
27%
21%
52%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
CRO
1 - 0
ASC
23%
22%
55%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
CRO
1 - 1
PIS
77%
13%
10%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
LEC
0 - 1
CRO
69%
17%
14%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
CRO
2 - 2
TRA
42%
23%
35%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |