Lecce U19 vs Crotone U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.4%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
17.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
LEC
5 - 4
FOG
76%
14%
10%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
CRO
1 - 0
LEC
24%
20%
56%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
REG
0 - 1
LEC
59%
21%
20%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +13 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
LEC
0 - 1
CAT
33%
26%
41%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
CRO
4 - 2
LEC
29%
23%
48%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Crotone U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
ASC
3 - 0
CRO
56%
21%
23%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
CRO
1 - 0
LEC
24%
20%
56%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
CRO
0 - 3
PES
52%
22%
26%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 0
CRO
52%
22%
26%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
CRO
4 - 2
SAL
86%
9%
5%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | 0 |