Leça FC vs União Madeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.1%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.8%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
75.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.5%
0-2
16.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
23.1%
0-3
11.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
14.9%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leça FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
GAF
1 - 2
LEC
74%
17%
9%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
LEC
1 - 2
RDA
16%
22%
62%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
COI
3 - 2
LEC
79%
14%
7%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
LEC
0 - 0
PED
19%
23%
58%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
CES
1 - 3
LEC
80%
14%
7%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
UNM
0 - 0
PEN
83%
13%
5%
|
52 | 28 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
PAR
5 - 1
UNM
13%
21%
66%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
UNM
1 - 0
CIN
78%
15%
7%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
ESP
2 - 0
UNM
26%
25%
49%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
UNM
0 - 0
AMA
63%
22%
15%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |