Leça FC vs Marítimo II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
39.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-66%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
9º
8º
43
3º
13º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
93% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
93% | |
|
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
71.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
67% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
67% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
84% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leça FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 2
LEC
25%
27%
49%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 5
LEC
17%
19%
64%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
LEC
1 - 2
LUS
31%
29%
41%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
GON
2 - 0
LEC
42%
26%
32%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
LEC
1 - 2
SAL
30%
27%
44%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Marítimo II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
5 - 1
CAS
63%
22%
15%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
BMA
2 - 1
MAR
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
RES
1 - 2
MAR
16%
18%
66%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 0
GUA
77%
14%
9%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
LUS
3 - 1
MAR
49%
24%
26%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |