Leça FC vs Alpendorada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
13.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
9º
8º
29
7º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
93% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
93% | |
|
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
71.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
67% | |
|
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
67% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
84% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 33% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 67% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leça FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
VAL
2 - 2
LEC
44%
27%
30%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
LEC
1 - 1
CAM
58%
24%
18%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
MAC
0 - 1
LEC
11%
17%
73%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
LEC
0 - 1
RES
76%
15%
9%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
LEC
1 - 0
BMA
40%
26%
34%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Alpendorada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
ALP
1 - 0
CAS
38%
24%
39%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
BMA
2 - 1
ALP
75%
16%
9%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
ALP
2 - 0
MAR
11%
16%
73%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | +5 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 2
ALP
61%
19%
20%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
LUS
2 - 1
ALP
78%
13%
9%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |