Leça do Balio vs Crestuma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
31.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leça do Balio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
PED
2 - 1
LEC
47%
23%
30%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
SSV
0 - 2
LEC
22%
22%
56%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
LEC
2 - 1
LEV
38%
23%
38%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
AVI
2 - 0
LEC
36%
24%
41%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
LEC
2 - 1
PER
76%
15%
9%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Crestuma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CRE
1 - 0
MOC
65%
19%
16%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CRE
2 - 0
ASA
82%
12%
6%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ARC
1 - 0
CRE
30%
24%
46%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
CRE
3 - 1
CAN
18%
20%
62%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | +3 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
GUL
1 - 0
CRE
78%
14%
8%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |