Lebring vs Hartberg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.9%
Win probability
3.2
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.8%
8.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
13º
13º
48
1º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
59.5% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 45 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 43 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lebring
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
SVF
1 - 5
LEB
16%
19%
66%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
LEB
3 - 1
63%
18%
19%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
LEB
0 - 3
FUR
54%
20%
26%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
SUT
0 - 5
LEB
17%
18%
65%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
LEB
2 - 2
KAL
48%
21%
30%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Hartberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
TSH
2 - 0
SUT
52%
20%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
KAL
2 - 1
TSH
76%
14%
9%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
TSH
4 - 3
FCS
71%
16%
13%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
SCB
0 - 2
TSH
79%
13%
9%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
TSH
6 - 5
HGK
10%
15%
75%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | +3 |