Lebring vs SV Tillmitsch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
15%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15%
13%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
13º
13º
55
1º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
59.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
59.5% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 45 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 43 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lebring
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
KAL
3 - 1
LEB
46%
23%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
LEB
1 - 4
FCS
76%
14%
11%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
SCB
1 - 0
LEB
34%
22%
44%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -2 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
LEB
2 - 0
HGK
40%
22%
39%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
GNA
1 - 3
LEB
48%
22%
30%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
SV Tillmitsch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
FUR
0 - 2
SVT
82%
11%
7%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
SVT
1 - 0
KAL
17%
18%
65%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
FCS
1 - 1
SVT
56%
20%
24%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
SVT
2 - 1
SCB
17%
18%
65%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
HGK
1 - 7
SVT
85%
10%
5%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | +3 |