Leandro Nicéforo Alem vs Ituzaingó analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
25.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leandro Nicéforo Alem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2016 |
POR
1 - 0
ALE
65%
21%
13%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2016 |
ALE
1 - 2
ARR
57%
24%
19%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2016 |
LUG
2 - 0
ALE
48%
27%
25%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2016 |
ALE
4 - 0
YUP
44%
27%
29%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +3 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
JUU
1 - 0
ALE
62%
23%
15%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Ituzaingó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2016 |
ITU
3 - 1
CLA
68%
21%
11%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
LAM
0 - 2
ITU
32%
30%
38%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 2016 |
ITU
0 - 1
VIC
54%
25%
20%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
PUE
2 - 1
ITU
53%
25%
23%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
ITU
3 - 1
CBA
50%
26%
24%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +2 |