Leandro Nicéforo Alem vs Excursionistas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
38.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leandro Nicéforo Alem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
RPI
1 - 0
ALE
63%
20%
17%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
ALE
1 - 0
SMA
48%
25%
27%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
LUJ
1 - 2
ALE
58%
23%
19%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
ALE
5 - 0
MER
27%
26%
48%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +3 |
| 19 Aug. 2019 |
LAF
2 - 0
ALE
71%
18%
12%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
EXC
3 - 1
ARM
31%
24%
46%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
ITA
1 - 0
EXC
42%
24%
33%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
EXC
2 - 1
RPI
33%
24%
43%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
EXC
1 - 2
CAÑ
49%
24%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
ESP
0 - 0
EXC
62%
22%
17%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +1 |