Leandro Nicéforo Alem vs Excursionistas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
27.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leandro Nicéforo Alem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2018 |
CAÑ
1 - 0
ALE
33%
29%
38%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
ALE
4 - 2
BER
65%
23%
12%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
POR
3 - 1
ALE
22%
28%
51%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
ALE
0 - 1
LUJ
50%
29%
21%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2018 |
ITA
1 - 5
ALE
26%
29%
45%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
EXC
1 - 0
LAF
60%
22%
18%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
SMA
2 - 1
EXC
29%
26%
45%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
EXC
1 - 1
JJU
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
ARM
0 - 0
EXC
30%
29%
41%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2018 |
EXC
2 - 1
MER
48%
26%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |