Leandro Nicéforo Alem vs Dep. Paraguayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
12.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leandro Nicéforo Alem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
ALE
3 - 0
YUP
63%
23%
14%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
VIC
1 - 2
ALE
49%
26%
25%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
ALE
1 - 0
LUG
46%
28%
27%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
ITU
0 - 1
ALE
49%
28%
23%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
ALE
0 - 2
JUU
47%
28%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Dep. Paraguayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
DPA
2 - 1
VIC
27%
26%
47%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
LUG
2 - 0
DPA
64%
22%
14%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
DPA
0 - 4
ITU
29%
29%
42%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
JUU
1 - 0
DPA
66%
22%
13%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
DPA
0 - 3
CES
24%
27%
48%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |