Leandro Nicéforo Alem vs Def. Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
24.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leandro Nicéforo Alem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2006 |
VIC
1 - 1
ALE
42%
25%
33%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
ALE
2 - 0
CES
75%
16%
9%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
UAI
1 - 1
ALE
40%
26%
34%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
ALE
4 - 0
RIE
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2006 |
ALE
3 - 1
PUE
78%
15%
8%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Def. Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
CAD
6 - 1
PUE
76%
16%
8%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
CLA
0 - 0
CAD
30%
25%
45%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
CAD
0 - 0
LUG
68%
19%
13%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
CBA
2 - 2
CAD
22%
25%
54%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
CAD
2 - 0
LIN
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |