Leandro Nicéforo Alem vs CA Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
27%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leandro Nicéforo Alem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
ITU
0 - 1
ALE
49%
28%
23%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
ALE
0 - 2
JUU
47%
28%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
CES
1 - 1
ALE
57%
26%
18%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
ALE
2 - 1
SMA
23%
26%
51%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
PUE
2 - 2
ALE
26%
28%
46%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
LUG
1 - 0
VIC
41%
28%
31%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
LUG
3 - 0
YUP
54%
25%
21%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
ITU
0 - 0
LUG
51%
27%
23%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
LUG
3 - 2
JUU
39%
30%
32%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
CES
2 - 1
LUG
57%
25%
18%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |