Leamington vs Bashley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.9%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
12.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leamington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2013 |
CHE
1 - 1
LEA
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
GOS
3 - 0
LEA
46%
25%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
LEA
0 - 1
CHE
64%
20%
16%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2013 |
HIT
0 - 1
LEA
31%
25%
44%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
STN
0 - 1
LEA
39%
24%
37%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2013 |
RED
0 - 0
BAS
39%
25%
36%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 0
ARL
36%
25%
39%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
BAS
2 - 1
CHI
47%
25%
28%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
HIT
3 - 2
BAS
59%
21%
20%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
BAS
0 - 1
BED
33%
25%
43%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |