Tercera - Postupové Play Off Quarter-finals
Global 1-1
Lealtad Villaviciosa vs Puertollano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
49%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lealtad Villaviciosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
PUE
1 - 0
LEA
68%
20%
12%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
TAP
2 - 0
LEA
9%
20%
72%
|
33 | 13 | 20 | -3 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
LEA
2 - 0
LEN
64%
21%
15%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
TUI
1 - 1
LEA
63%
20%
18%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
LEA
3 - 0
GIN
80%
14%
5%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Puertollano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
PUE
1 - 0
LEA
68%
20%
12%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
PUE
3 - 0
CDC
82%
13%
5%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
PED
0 - 0
PUE
13%
22%
65%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
PUE
2 - 1
VIL
63%
22%
15%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
GIM
1 - 2
PUE
15%
23%
62%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |