Lealtad Villaviciosa vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.3%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
0
24.3%
64.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
19.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.6%
0-2
15.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lealtad Villaviciosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
ROB
2 - 1
LEA
51%
25%
24%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
LEA
1 - 0
SPB
22%
27%
51%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
CUL
0 - 0
LEA
79%
15%
7%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
LEA
0 - 1
MAR
37%
29%
35%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
COV
2 - 0
LEA
37%
26%
37%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
NUM
0 - 2
CUL
45%
26%
30%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
VAL
1 - 1
NUM
21%
27%
52%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
COV
0 - 3
NUM
16%
25%
59%
|
65 | 39 | 26 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
NUM
1 - 1
SPB
72%
18%
9%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 0
NUM
12%
24%
64%
|
65 | 41 | 24 | 0 |