Lealtad Villaviciosa vs Narcea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.4%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
6.6%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lealtad Villaviciosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
MOS
0 - 0
LEA
21%
24%
55%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
LEA
2 - 1
NAI
70%
18%
12%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
CAU
0 - 2
LEA
65%
21%
14%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +2 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
LEA
0 - 1
UNI
48%
25%
27%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
AST
0 - 3
LEA
28%
26%
46%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
NAR
1 - 0
CON
22%
27%
50%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
TUR
2 - 4
NAR
27%
27%
46%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
NAR
0 - 2
PCF
30%
28%
42%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
COV
1 - 2
NAR
55%
24%
21%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
NAR
1 - 1
SIE
14%
26%
60%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | +1 |