Lealtad Villaviciosa vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
38.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lealtad Villaviciosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
ARE
3 - 1
LEA
61%
22%
17%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
LEA
1 - 0
RUN
28%
28%
45%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
RSO
1 - 0
LEA
63%
21%
16%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
LEA
2 - 1
UDL
26%
30%
45%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
TUD
0 - 0
LEA
53%
26%
22%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
GER
2 - 0
CAU
45%
26%
29%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
BUR
0 - 0
GER
52%
25%
23%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
GER
0 - 0
SDA
38%
27%
35%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
BAR
2 - 0
GER
57%
24%
19%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
GER
2 - 2
CDV
62%
23%
15%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |