Lealtad Villaviciosa vs CD Covadonga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lealtad Villaviciosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
SIE
0 - 2
LEA
31%
26%
43%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2009 |
LEA
2 - 2
GIN
53%
23%
24%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
CUD
1 - 1
LEA
43%
26%
31%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
LEA
1 - 3
CON
70%
19%
11%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
CAU
2 - 0
LEA
52%
24%
24%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CD Covadonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
COV
0 - 2
CEA
57%
22%
21%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
MOS
1 - 3
COV
44%
25%
31%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
COV
3 - 2
NAV
53%
24%
23%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
AVI
2 - 0
COV
47%
26%
27%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
COV
3 - 2
64%
20%
17%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |