Touquet vs Arras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.3%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
68.5%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Touquet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
FEI
3 - 0
TOU
76%
15%
9%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
TOU
0 - 0
ASB
31%
24%
45%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
GRA
0 - 1
TOU
62%
20%
18%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
TOU
1 - 2
TOU
42%
23%
35%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
TOU
1 - 1
AMI
38%
23%
39%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
ARR
0 - 1
VIM
84%
10%
6%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
USM
0 - 0
ARR
12%
16%
71%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
ARR
4 - 1
BOU
79%
13%
8%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
FLE
5 - 4
ARR
69%
19%
12%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
ARR
3 - 3
FCS
42%
26%
33%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |