Le Roeulx vs Gilly analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21.1%
42.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-113%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
12º
16º
15º
41
3º
13º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
51.5% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
51.5% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 53 |
4º
|
83% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
83% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
86% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
86% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 28 |
14º
|
86% | |
|
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
86% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
14% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
86% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Roeulx
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
FLE
5 - 0
LER
75%
15%
10%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
LER
3 - 0
SOL
43%
22%
35%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
LER
0 - 8
BEL
10%
16%
74%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
LUI
0 - 0
LER
54%
20%
25%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
LER
2 - 1
MON
38%
23%
39%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Gilly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
RAN
2 - 0
RFC
48%
22%
30%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
RFC
1 - 3
MOL
20%
19%
61%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
MON
3 - 1
RFC
33%
22%
46%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
RFC
0 - 1
FLE
46%
21%
33%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
BEL
5 - 1
RFC
70%
17%
13%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |