Le Puy vs Thonon Évian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
24.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
14º
2º
28
6º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Puy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
HYE
2 - 0
LPV
20%
27%
54%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
LPV
0 - 0
TRO
14%
19%
67%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 1
LPV
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
LPV
2 - 2
FBB
54%
26%
20%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
ASN
1 - 2
LPV
56%
25%
20%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Thonon Évian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
THO
0 - 0
CAN
49%
25%
26%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 2
THO
69%
18%
14%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
THO
0 - 0
MOA
37%
24%
39%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
THO
2 - 1
MGG
39%
25%
35%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
AUX
0 - 0
THO
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |