Le Puy vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
55.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Puy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
LPV
0 - 0
ROM
63%
22%
15%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
ECA
0 - 1
LPV
9%
19%
72%
|
50 | 13 | 37 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
STA
0 - 2
LPV
32%
28%
40%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2018 |
LPV
3 - 2
SAE
48%
26%
27%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
VOL
0 - 0
LPV
10%
19%
72%
|
51 | 17 | 34 | -2 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2018 |
ASN
1 - 1
TRO
26%
27%
47%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
SAI
0 - 2
ASN
10%
20%
71%
|
60 | 35 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2018 |
AJA
1 - 1
ASN
52%
26%
23%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
ORL
1 - 2
ASN
56%
25%
20%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2018 |
ASN
1 - 0
RED
47%
28%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |