Le Puy vs Fréjus St-Raphaël analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
18.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
14º
2º
36
1º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Puy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
OLY
2 - 1
LPV
26%
26%
48%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
LPV
1 - 1
JUR
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
AND
0 - 2
LPV
28%
27%
45%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
LPV
1 - 0
THO
50%
26%
24%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
HYE
2 - 0
LPV
20%
27%
54%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Fréjus St-Raphaël
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FRE
0 - 0
CAN
37%
28%
35%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
AUB
2 - 1
FRE
36%
27%
37%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
FRE
0 - 0
GRA
33%
28%
39%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
BOU
2 - 2
FRE
21%
27%
53%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
FRE
3 - 1
TOU
56%
24%
20%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |