Le Messager Ngozi vs TOP Junior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
16.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Messager Ngozi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
RUK
0 - 0
NGO
48%
25%
28%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
NOI
1 - 0
NGO
46%
25%
30%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
NGO
1 - 0
LCR
49%
24%
26%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
STA
1 - 0
NGO
37%
26%
37%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
NGO
3 - 0
FLA
51%
26%
23%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
TOP Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
TJU
2 - 1
ANM
21%
20%
60%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
TJU
0 - 1
DYN
29%
23%
47%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
KAY
3 - 3
TJU
73%
15%
11%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
RMU
2 - 0
TJU
69%
17%
14%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
TJU
0 - 3
FLA
33%
22%
46%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -2 |