Le Messager Ngozi vs Flamengo Ngagara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Messager Ngozi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2013 |
NGO
2 - 2
INT
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
ESM
0 - 1
NGO
43%
26%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
NGO
1 - 0
MUZ
50%
24%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
NGO
0 - 0
ESM
52%
24%
24%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
MUZ
1 - 0
NGO
48%
25%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Flamengo Ngagara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2013 |
FLA
2 - 1
FLA
47%
26%
28%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
FLA
0 - 7
VIT
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
ROY
2 - 1
FLA
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
FLA
0 - 1
ROY
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
VIT
4 - 0
FLA
55%
23%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |