Le Messager Ngozi vs Flambeau du Centre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
35.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Messager Ngozi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
LLB
1 - 2
NGO
48%
26%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
NGO
4 - 1
BUJ
55%
24%
21%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 0
NGO
42%
27%
31%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
RUK
2 - 1
NGO
39%
27%
34%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
NGO
1 - 0
INT
59%
23%
18%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Flambeau du Centre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
FLA
1 - 0
RUK
57%
24%
19%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
FLA
1 - 0
RUK
54%
25%
21%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
INT
2 - 0
FLA
24%
23%
53%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
FLA
3 - 2
TJU
78%
14%
8%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
TIN
0 - 1
FLA
44%
25%
31%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |