Le Messager Ngozi vs Flambeau de l'Est analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
23.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Messager Ngozi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
NGO
2 - 0
FLA
42%
26%
33%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2021 |
NGO
0 - 0
ANM
42%
25%
33%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
STA
0 - 1
NGO
36%
26%
38%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
NGO
1 - 0
BUM
37%
24%
38%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2021 |
BUM
3 - 1
NGO
45%
23%
32%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Flambeau de l'Est
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
FLA
1 - 0
DYN
40%
27%
32%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2020 |
FLA
10 - 0
MUY
58%
22%
21%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2020 |
MSU
0 - 0
FLA
51%
22%
27%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2020 |
FLA
1 - 2
RMU
27%
27%
46%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2020 |
DEL
2 - 1
FLA
44%
23%
33%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |