Le Messager Ngozi vs Flambeau de l'Est analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
26.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Messager Ngozi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2018 |
STA
2 - 2
NGO
43%
28%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2018 |
NGO
2 - 1
LLB
49%
26%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
NCF
1 - 2
NGO
43%
28%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
VIT
1 - 0
NGO
47%
26%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
NGO
0 - 0
FLA
62%
22%
17%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -16 |
Matches
Flambeau de l'Est
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2018 |
FLA
2 - 1
ANM
39%
28%
33%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2018 |
ATH
1 - 1
FLA
45%
27%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
FLA
1 - 2
ROY
40%
27%
33%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
FLA
1 - 2
BUJ
39%
29%
32%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
BUJ
0 - 2
FLA
55%
24%
22%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -6 |