Le Messager Ngozi vs Flambeau de l'Est analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
25.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Messager Ngozi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
NYA
2 - 1
NGO
25%
27%
48%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
NGO
3 - 1
LLB
49%
28%
24%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
NGO
0 - 0
LCR
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +16 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
BUJ
1 - 5
NGO
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
NGO
0 - 2
BUJ
51%
25%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Flambeau de l'Est
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
FLA
0 - 0
BUJ
47%
27%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
BUJ
0 - 0
FLA
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
FLA
5 - 1
LEL
41%
27%
32%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
ATH
1 - 2
FLA
44%
27%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
FLA
2 - 0
STA
45%
27%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |