Le Messager Ngozi vs Flambeau de l'Est analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Messager Ngozi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
NGO
1 - 4
LLB
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
ATH
1 - 1
NGO
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2013 |
ROY
1 - 1
NGO
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
NGO
3 - 0
PRI
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
NGO
1 - 0
FLA
53%
23%
23%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Flambeau de l'Est
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
FLA
2 - 0
INT
48%
26%
27%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
FLA
4 - 0
ROY
46%
26%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2013 |
ESM
0 - 2
FLA
42%
27%
31%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
LLB
0 - 0
FLA
53%
24%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
FLA
3 - 0
MUZ
43%
26%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |