Le Messager Ngozi vs Tigre Noir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
27.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Messager Ngozi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2024 |
DYN
1 - 2
NGO
41%
27%
32%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
NGO
0 - 0
DYN
46%
28%
26%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
TIN
1 - 0
NGO
40%
26%
35%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
NGO
2 - 1
MYB
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ANM
1 - 2
NGO
51%
25%
25%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Tigre Noir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
TIN
1 - 2
STA
42%
26%
32%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
STA
2 - 0
TIN
50%
25%
26%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
TIN
1 - 0
NGO
40%
26%
35%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +2 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
RUK
3 - 0
TIN
54%
24%
23%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
TIN
0 - 1
MSU
53%
21%
26%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |