Le Messager Ngozi vs Aigle Noir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
36.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Messager Ngozi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
RUK
1 - 2
NGO
53%
24%
23%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
NGO
1 - 0
KAY
52%
24%
24%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
NCF
3 - 0
NGO
42%
27%
31%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
VIT
1 - 1
NGO
46%
26%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2024 |
NGO
3 - 1
DAB
71%
18%
11%
|
40 | 14 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Aigle Noir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
ANM
1 - 0
STA
49%
25%
26%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2024 |
BUM
1 - 1
ANM
48%
24%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2024 |
DYN
0 - 4
ANM
26%
23%
51%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
ANM
2 - 0
MFC
51%
25%
24%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
ANM
3 - 0
AMA
82%
12%
6%
|
41 | 8 | 33 | 0 |