Le Messager Ngozi vs Aigle Noir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
34.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+72%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Messager Ngozi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
MYB
0 - 5
NGO
22%
21%
56%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
NGO
1 - 0
TIN
49%
24%
28%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2024 |
DYN
1 - 2
NGO
41%
27%
32%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
NGO
0 - 0
DYN
46%
28%
26%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
TIN
1 - 0
NGO
40%
26%
35%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Aigle Noir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ANM
1 - 0
STA
52%
24%
24%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
ANM
4 - 1
BUM
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
MYB
0 - 2
ANM
23%
21%
56%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
ANM
3 - 1
MYB
78%
13%
9%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
BUM
1 - 1
ANM
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |