Le Messager Ngozi vs Aigle Noir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
41%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+67%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
1º
9º
3º
53
1º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Messager Ngozi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
BUM
1 - 0
NGO
53%
24%
23%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
NGO
1 - 1
VIT
36%
29%
35%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
KAY
1 - 0
NGO
50%
25%
25%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
FLA
3 - 1
NGO
45%
26%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
NGO
0 - 0
MYB
44%
26%
30%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aigle Noir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
MYB
1 - 1
ANM
40%
25%
36%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ANM
1 - 0
TIN
59%
21%
20%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
TJU
0 - 2
ANM
37%
25%
38%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ANM
2 - 0
INT
71%
17%
12%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
RUK
2 - 1
ANM
39%
26%
35%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |