Le Messager Ngozi vs Aigle Noir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
24.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Messager Ngozi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
BUJ
0 - 0
NGO
46%
26%
28%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
FLA
1 - 2
NGO
44%
27%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
NGO
3 - 0
MUZ
47%
26%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
INT
2 - 1
NGO
50%
26%
25%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
NGO
0 - 3
ATH
51%
26%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Aigle Noir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
ANM
1 - 0
STA
50%
25%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
ANM
0 - 0
VIT
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
MFC
2 - 1
ANM
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2016 |
NYA
0 - 2
ANM
47%
26%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
ANM
1 - 0
BUJ
54%
25%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |