Le Mans U19 vs SA Mérignac U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.8%
15.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
8º
12º
12º
28
1º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
83.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 6 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Mans U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
LAV
1 - 1
LMA
39%
23%
38%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
LMA
2 - 1
VER
70%
16%
14%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
LOR
0 - 1
LMA
44%
21%
35%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
AVR
2 - 1
LMA
28%
22%
51%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
LMA
2 - 3
ANG
40%
24%
37%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
SA Mérignac U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SAM
1 - 1
AVR
36%
23%
41%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ANG
3 - 0
SAM
71%
17%
12%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SAM
1 - 2
NAN
7%
13%
80%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
NIO
5 - 1
SAM
70%
16%
14%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
SAM
5 - 1
LVF
74%
15%
11%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |