LCS vs Lioli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
24.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+117%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LCS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
LCS
1 - 0
LIN
48%
26%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
LDF
0 - 0
LCS
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
LCS
0 - 1
QAL
45%
26%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
QOA
0 - 1
LCS
49%
26%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
BAN
2 - 1
LCS
52%
25%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lioli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
LIO
3 - 0
LIK
51%
26%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
LIO
4 - 0
MPH
45%
26%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
LIO
3 - 0
LDF
47%
26%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
NYE
1 - 2
LIO
52%
25%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
MAT
2 - 0
LIO
49%
27%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |