Aris vs Sioux Falls Thunder analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.1%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
77.4%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.5%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
10%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aris
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2021 |
ARI
1 - 6
JOY
5%
11%
84%
|
9 | 31 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
DAK
3 - 0
ARI
73%
15%
12%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2021 |
MEC
3 - 1
ARI
91%
7%
2%
|
9 | 39 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
ARI
0 - 3
DUL
6%
12%
82%
|
10 | 34 | 24 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
ARI
0 - 4
MIN
6%
12%
82%
|
11 | 41 | 30 | -1 |
Matches
Sioux Falls Thunder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2021 |
SFT
0 - 4
MEC
11%
17%
73%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
SFT
2 - 1
DUL
9%
15%
76%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | +2 |
| 03 Jun. 2021 |
JOY
3 - 0
SFT
86%
10%
5%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
DAK
1 - 4
SFT
57%
20%
24%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +2 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
MEC
4 - 3
SFT
90%
8%
3%
|
14 | 37 | 23 | 0 |