Aris vs Sioux Falls Thunder analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.1%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
77.5%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.6%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
10%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aris
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
MIN
3 - 0
ARI
91%
7%
2%
|
11 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2018 |
ARI
1 - 2
MEC
5%
12%
83%
|
11 | 37 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
ARI
0 - 0
MIN
4%
10%
87%
|
7 | 44 | 37 | +4 |
| 21 Jun. 2018 |
DUL
4 - 0
ARI
93%
6%
1%
|
7 | 39 | 32 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
DAK
5 - 0
ARI
93%
5%
1%
|
7 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Sioux Falls Thunder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
SFT
3 - 2
VSL
11%
16%
73%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2018 |
SFT
5 - 2
DAK
16%
18%
66%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | +2 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
DUL
4 - 0
SFT
91%
7%
2%
|
16 | 39 | 23 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2018 |
SFT
0 - 2
MEC
8%
14%
78%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
MIN
6 - 1
SFT
93%
6%
2%
|
16 | 44 | 28 | 0 |