Aris vs Duluth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.3%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.1%
82.4%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.3%
0-3
12.3%
1-4
5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.2%
0-4
8.4%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
11.6%
0-5
4.6%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
6.1%
0-6
2.1%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.7%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aris
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
ARI
0 - 4
MIN
6%
12%
82%
|
11 | 41 | 30 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
JOY
2 - 2
ARI
91%
7%
3%
|
10 | 33 | 23 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
DUL
11 - 0
ARI
91%
7%
2%
|
10 | 33 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2019 |
ARI
1 - 2
SFT
25%
21%
54%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2019 |
DAK
0 - 1
ARI
86%
9%
4%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Duluth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2021 |
MIN
3 - 2
DUL
68%
17%
15%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
DUL
4 - 3
JOY
54%
21%
26%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
DUL
11 - 0
ARI
91%
7%
2%
|
33 | 10 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2019 |
DUL
2 - 4
MIN
35%
22%
43%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2019 |
ARI
0 - 3
DUL
5%
12%
83%
|
37 | 10 | 27 | -3 |