Aris vs Duluth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1%
1-0
2%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.2%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.8%
82.8%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.2%
0-3
12.3%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.3%
0-4
8.6%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
11.8%
0-5
4.8%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.3%
0-6
2.2%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.8%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aris
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
ARI
1 - 2
MIN
7%
13%
80%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
ARI
0 - 4
MIN
6%
13%
82%
|
11 | 42 | 31 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
ARI
1 - 3
MEC
6%
13%
81%
|
12 | 39 | 27 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
ARI
5 - 2
DAK
5%
11%
84%
|
9 | 22 | 13 | +3 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
MIN
7 - 0
ARI
91%
7%
2%
|
9 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Duluth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
MEC
3 - 1
DUL
53%
21%
26%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2019 |
MIN
0 - 3
DUL
23%
20%
57%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
DUL
7 - 0
DAK
83%
11%
6%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
SFT
0 - 1
DUL
9%
14%
77%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
MIN
1 - 2
DUL
67%
19%
14%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +1 |