Lazio vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
18.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1936 |
GEN
4 - 1
LAZ
50%
23%
27%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1936 |
LAZ
3 - 0
ACM
60%
21%
20%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1936 |
LAZ
1 - 0
FIO
53%
23%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1936 |
NAP
1 - 2
LAZ
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1936 |
USA
2 - 0
LAZ
50%
21%
28%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1936 |
TRI
0 - 2
TOR
52%
24%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1936 |
INT
1 - 2
TRI
79%
13%
8%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1936 |
BOL
3 - 0
TRI
70%
17%
13%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1936 |
TRI
0 - 0
GEN
54%
22%
24%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1936 |
ROM
1 - 0
TRI
63%
21%
17%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |