Lazio vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
14.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2022 |
FIO
0 - 4
LAZ
39%
25%
37%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
STR
0 - 0
LAZ
28%
25%
47%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
LAZ
4 - 0
SPE
76%
15%
9%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
USC
0 - 4
LAZ
21%
23%
56%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
MID
5 - 1
LAZ
29%
25%
46%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
STR
2 - 1
WAT
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
STR
0 - 0
LAZ
28%
25%
47%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
AUS
0 - 3
STR
46%
24%
31%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
STR
5 - 1
MAR
59%
22%
20%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
STR
2 - 0
SCA
63%
21%
16%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |