Lazio vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
9.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
LAZ
3 - 3
INT
52%
23%
26%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2002 |
LAZ
2 - 0
EMP
78%
15%
7%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
PIA
2 - 3
LAZ
28%
27%
45%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2002 |
STR
1 - 3
LAZ
37%
26%
37%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
LAZ
4 - 0
MOD
79%
14%
7%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2002 |
RBS
2 - 1
STR
44%
24%
32%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
STR
1 - 1
64%
20%
16%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2002 |
STR
1 - 3
LAZ
37%
26%
37%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
AUS
1 - 2
STR
45%
25%
31%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
STR
2 - 1
FCK
60%
21%
18%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |