Europa League Playoffs 1/16
Global 5-2
Lazio vs FCSB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.2%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
8.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2018 |
LAZ
2 - 0
VER
80%
13%
7%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
STB
1 - 0
LAZ
25%
24%
52%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
NAP
4 - 1
LAZ
68%
18%
14%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2018 |
LAZ
1 - 2
GEN
78%
15%
8%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
ACM
0 - 0
LAZ
36%
26%
38%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FCSB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
DBU
2 - 2
STB
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
STB
1 - 0
LAZ
25%
24%
52%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
STB
1 - 1
CLU
49%
25%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
GAZ
1 - 2
STB
28%
28%
45%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2018 |
STB
2 - 0
OSI
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |